Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEF
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 4
FEN
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
3 - 1
PEÑ
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
FLU
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |