Uruguay Intermediate Round . Jor. 4

Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis

Defensor Sporting Peñarol
69 ELO 81
7.1% Tilt 3.7%
304º General ELO ranking 288º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.3%
Defensor Sporting
25.3%
Draw
48.4%
Peñarol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
Defensor Sporting
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.4%
Win probability
Peñarol
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Defensor Sporting
+16%
+22%
Peñarol

ELO progression

Defensor Sporting
Peñarol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2019
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
41%
26%
33%
70 67 3 0
20 Jul. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Juventud
JUV
47%
26%
28%
70 70 0 0
13 Jul. 2019
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
63%
22%
15%
69 80 11 +1
01 Jun. 2019
PRO
Progreso
0 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
45%
26%
29%
68 68 0 +1
25 May. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 4
Fénix
FEN
47%
26%
27%
69 69 0 -1

Matches

Peñarol
Peñarol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2019
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
35%
26%
39%
82 77 5 0
27 Jul. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
2 - 0
Danubio
DAN
69%
19%
12%
82 73 9 0
24 Jul. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
63%
21%
16%
82 77 5 0
20 Jul. 2019
PRO
Progreso
1 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
82 68 14 0
14 Jul. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
4 - 0
Boston River
BOS
76%
16%
8%
82 67 15 0
X