Defensor Sporting vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
REN
1 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
DEF
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 3
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSC
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
BRA
30%
25%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALB
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |