Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CCS
2 - 2
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 1
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
0 - 3
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 2
DYJ
30%
27%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
DYJ
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
COL
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 1
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CCS
0 - 1
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
ATT
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |