Primera Nacional round 18

Defensa y Justicia vs Belgrano analysis

Defensa y Justicia Belgrano
69 ELO 76
-1.1% Tilt -9.6%
151º General ELO ranking 229º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
41.8%
Defensa y Justicia
28.2%
Draw
30%
Belgrano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
Defensa y Justicia
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
30%
Win probability
Belgrano
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Defensa y Justicia
-15%
-1%
Belgrano

ELO progression

Defensa y Justicia
Belgrano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2008
ALB
All Boys
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
69 66 3 0
22 Nov. 2008
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
2 - 2
Unión Santa Fe
CAU
45%
27%
29%
69 70 1 0
15 Nov. 2008
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
1 - 1
Tiro Federal Rosario
TFE
50%
27%
23%
69 69 0 0
06 Nov. 2008
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
3 - 2
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
56%
25%
19%
70 74 4 -1
01 Nov. 2008
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
3 - 2
Almagro
ALM
53%
26%
22%
69 65 4 +1

Matches

Belgrano
Belgrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2008
BEL
Belgrano
0 - 2
Tiro Federal Rosario
TFE
55%
26%
18%
76 69 7 0
21 Nov. 2008
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
3 - 0
Belgrano
BEL
45%
27%
28%
77 74 3 -1
15 Nov. 2008
BEL
Belgrano
1 - 0
Almagro
ALM
59%
24%
17%
77 64 13 0
09 Nov. 2008
SMA
San Martín San Juan
0 - 1
Belgrano
BEL
35%
29%
36%
76 70 6 +1
03 Nov. 2008
BEL
Belgrano
2 - 1
Platense
PLA
58%
24%
18%
76 63 13 0