Def. Belgrano vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
IRV
4 - 3
STM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 0
IRV
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
IRV
0 - 1
MIT
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 0
IRV
37%
28%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
IRV
0 - 1
SMA
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |