De Graafschap Sub 21 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HSC
1 - 1
GRA
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 0
EVV
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GRA
5 - 3
QUI
22%
22%
57%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +5 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
JVC
0 - 1
GRA
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
ACH
56%
19%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
DON
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
WES
4 - 3
USV
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
USV
4 - 2
DON
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ACV
0 - 3
USV
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 2
USV
34%
24%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |