DC United vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
DCU
2 - 0
LEO
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
DCU
8 - 0
JOE
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
DAL
0 - 1
DCU
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
DCU
2 - 2
TAM
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
GAL
0 - 1
DCU
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
TOL
1 - 1
SAP
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
TOL
2 - 0
LDA
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1989 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1975 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
TOL
1 - 1
OLI
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |