DC United vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 1
DCU
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DCU
2 - 1
NER
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RSL
1 - 0
DCU
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
DCU
2 - 2
RBN
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
DCU
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
COC
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
SJE
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
SJE
4 - 0
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NER
3 - 3
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |