Daventry Town vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
20º
19º
51
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAV
78%
14%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAV
1 - 4
HAL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
4 - 0
DAV
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
DAV
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DAV
0 - 1
BED
49%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
SHE
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 2
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 4
SHE
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
SHE
51%
21%
29%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |