National League Round 4

Dartford vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis

Dartford Kidderminster Harriers
57 ELO 52
13.2% Tilt -1.6%
5619º General ELO ranking 3877º
188º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Dartford
22%
Draw
20.7%
Kidderminster Harriers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Dartford
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
Kidderminster Harriers
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dartford
-15%
+29%
Kidderminster Harriers

ELO progression

Dartford
Kidderminster Harriers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2012
MAC
Macclesfield Town
2 - 0
Dartford
DAR
26%
26%
47%
57 46 11 0
14 Aug. 2012
WOK
Woking
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
46%
26%
28%
58 58 0 -1
11 Aug. 2012
DAR
Dartford
2 - 3
Tamworth
TAM
77%
15%
8%
58 43 15 0
28 Jul. 2012
DAR
Dartford
0 - 0
Southend United
SOU
47%
23%
30%
59 61 2 -1
13 May. 2012
DAR
Dartford
1 - 0
Welling United
WEL
56%
21%
23%
58 56 2 +1

Matches

Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2012
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
2 - 3
Mansfield Town
MAN
42%
25%
33%
53 57 4 0
14 Aug. 2012
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
0 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
47%
26%
28%
54 58 4 -1
11 Aug. 2012
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 0
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
29%
26%
46%
55 47 8 -1
31 Jul. 2012
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
2 - 3
Walsall
WAL
45%
25%
30%
56 60 4 -1
28 Apr. 2012
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
0 - 3
Mansfield Town
MAN
41%
26%
33%
57 60 3 -1