EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Darlington FC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MAN
2 - 1
DAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
DAR
1 - 2
HAR
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
ROC
2 - 0
DAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
DAR
2 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOT
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NOT
1 - 1
BUR
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
NOT
2 - 1
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
NOT
1 - 2
WYC
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |