Danubio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 1
DAN
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DAN
3 - 1
CEN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 3
DAN
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CSM
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
BVS
2 - 3
PEÑ
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |