Danubio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
99%
1%
0%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
SLO
1 - 0
PEÑ
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SLO
55%
27%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
PEÑ
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |