Dakota Fusion vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dakota Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
DAK
0 - 4
MEC
9%
16%
75%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MIN
6 - 0
DAK
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JOY
4 - 1
DAK
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
DAK
0 - 1
ARI
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MEC
5 - 0
DAK
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MEC
4 - 3
SFT
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SFT
0 - 3
MIN
7%
14%
80%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MIN
4 - 2
SFT
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
SFT
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SFT
0 - 2
MIN
7%
13%
80%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | -2 |