Cuxhaven vs Ahlerstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuxhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUX
1 - 0
THA
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CUX
2 - 0
MEC
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MTV
0 - 5
CUX
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CUX
3 - 4
BWB
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SVD
1 - 4
CUX
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
AHO
3 - 0
OTT
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AHO
1 - 0
TSE
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
AHO
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 1
AHO
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
AHO
1 - 2
TJS
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |