Curzon Ashton vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CUR
1 - 2
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
WAK
0 - 0
CUR
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
CUR
1 - 2
SKE
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 2
CUR
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CUR
6 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GAR
4 - 0
NBS
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 2
GAR
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 1
GAR
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GAR
1 - 4
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BAM
1 - 0
GAR
67%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |