Curslack-Neuengamme vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
GER
1 - 3
CUR
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 5
CUR
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 1
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 1
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CUR
3 - 1
PAL
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
NIE
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 3
EIN
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
BER
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
VIE
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
2 - 1
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |