Cuba vs Grenada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
3 - 0
CYM
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
3 - 0
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
CYM
1 - 2
CUB
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
CUB
0 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
GRD
1 - 1
VCT
53%
21%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GUY
1 - 3
GRD
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GRD
5 - 0
GUY
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GRD
0 - 1
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 0
GRD
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |