La Costanera vs Independiente de Beltrán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Costanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FER
6 - 2
CSY
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CSY
0 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 2
CSY
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente de Beltrán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
4 - 3
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
CAI
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 2
CSY
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |