CSKA Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
ANZ
1 - 2
CSK
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
KRS
2 - 0
CSK
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CSK
0 - 0
SAT
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
LOK
1 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CSK
3 - 0
STM
93%
6%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SAT
0 - 0
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 0
DIN
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
LNN
0 - 0
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
YAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LNN
3 - 2
CHE
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |