Vargas Torres vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
46%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
52
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 0
CSV
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
PQU
2 - 0
MAN
34%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |