Macará vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 2
MAN
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
OLM
3 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLM
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLM
1 - 1
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
OLM
45%
28%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 0
QUI
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
OLM
3 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |