Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUN
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
MAC
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 5
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
DEL
3 - 1
MUS
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
MUS
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |