Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 0
DEL
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 4
UCE
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
IVT
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 1
MUS
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
LDU
2 - 1
MUS
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |