Conmebol Sudamericana . Semi-finals
Global 6-0
Independiente del Valle vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 2
MEL
16%
27%
57%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAN
72%
20%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 0
MEL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 0
SCI
20%
29%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |