CSA vs Jacyobá analysis


65	ELO	33
-4.1%	Tilt	-18.9%
1368º	General ELO ranking	41380º
50º	Country ELO ranking	1126º
ELO win probability

78.5%

CSA

14.8%

Draw

6.7%

Jacyobá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

78.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%

14.8%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

6.9%

2-2

2.3%

3-3

0.3%

4-4

<0%

0

14.8%

6.7%

Win probability

0.55

Expected goals

0-1

2.9%

1-2

1.9%

2-3

0.4%

3-4

0%

-1

5.2%

0-2

0.8%

1-3

0.3%

2-4

0.1%

-2

1.2%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSA

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
20 Jan. 2019	DSA 1 - 0 CSA 7% 15% 78%	65	24	41
16 Jan. 2019	CSA 1 - 1 VIT 33% 25% 43%	65	71	6
24 Nov. 2018	JUV 0 - 4 CSA 27% 31% 43%	65	55	10
17 Nov. 2018	CSA 0 - 1 AVA 33% 28% 39%	65	72	7
10 Nov. 2018	CSA 0 - 0 ATL 41% 27% 32%	65	67	2