CSA vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSA
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CSA
32%
30%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CHA
56%
25%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
24%
28%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |