Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.1%
+1
6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.2%
71.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
28.7%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 81 | -1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
3 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAH
52%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
3 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |