CSA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
CSA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
CSA
86%
10%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
3 - 0
CSA
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
30%
30%
41%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
3 - 0
CSA
61%
25%
14%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +3 |