CSA vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEO
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
0 - 1
CSA
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSA
3 - 2
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CRB
1 - 0
CSA
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSE
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 1
ASA
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |