Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
10º
1º
4
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 52 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 50 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 49 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 47 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 42 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 42 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 36 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
79% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CSU
1 - 0
HER
46%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
CSU
3 - 0
TNV
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CLU
2 - 3
CSU
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
CSU
4 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
CSU
2 - 1
UCL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
UCL
1 - 1
PET
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
PET
1 - 2
UTA
43%
29%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
MET
0 - 3
PET
36%
29%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
STB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GAL
0 - 0
PET
40%
30%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |