Liga III round 16

Ocna Mureș vs Unirea Alba Iulia analysis

Ocna Mureș Unirea Alba Iulia
21 ELO 30
6.7% Tilt 4.6%
40326º General ELO ranking 4079º
567º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
31.7%
Ocna Mureș
23.7%
Draw
44.5%
Unirea Alba Iulia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
Ocna Mureș
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.5%
Win probability
Unirea Alba Iulia
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Ocna Mureș
Their league position
Unirea Alba Iulia
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
10º
30
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Corvinul Hunedoara
52
52
100%
Unirea Ungheni
32
32
100%
Metalurgistul Cugir
31
31
100%
Unirea Alba Iulia
30
30
100%
ACS Târgu Mures
24
24
0%
Avântul Reghin
24
24
0%
Universitatea Alba Iulia
21
21
100%
Viitorul Cluj
16
16
100%
Sănătatea Cluj
14
14
100%
Ocna Mureș
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ocna Mureș
Unirea Alba Iulia
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Ocna Mureș
Unirea Alba Iulia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ocna Mureș
Ocna Mureș
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
0 - 6
Minaur Baia Mare
MBM
6%
15%
79%
22 51 29 0
03 Dec. 2022
SNT
Sănătatea Cluj
7 - 3
Ocna Mureș
CSO
43%
21%
37%
24 21 3 -2
26 Nov. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
0 - 6
Metalurgistul Cugir
MET
25%
20%
55%
26 35 9 -2
18 Nov. 2022
AVA
Avântul Reghin
2 - 2
Ocna Mureș
CSO
56%
22%
23%
25 32 7 +1
12 Nov. 2022
VII
Viitorul Cluj
3 - 0
Ocna Mureș
CSO
41%
22%
37%
27 26 1 -2

Matches

Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2022
FCU
Unirea Alba Iulia
2 - 1
Universitatea Alba Iulia
UAI
44%
23%
33%
28 30 2 0
26 Nov. 2022
HUN
Corvinul Hunedoara
3 - 0
Unirea Alba Iulia
FCU
86%
11%
4%
29 50 21 -1
18 Nov. 2022
FCU
Unirea Alba Iulia
4 - 0
ACS Târgu Mures
ACS
45%
22%
33%
28 28 0 +1
12 Nov. 2022
UNI
Unirea Ungheni
4 - 3
Unirea Alba Iulia
FCU
71%
16%
12%
28 37 9 0
05 Nov. 2022
FCU
Unirea Alba Iulia
1 - 0
Viitorul Cluj
VII
53%
21%
26%
28 26 2 0