Crystal Palace vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 1
CRY
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRY
0 - 3
NTT
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 1
DON
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
CRY
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 0
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
OPA
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BPO
3 - 0
SOU
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
DON
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 2
SOU
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |