Europa League . 1/16
Global 3-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
RAD
0 - 1
CRV
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NPA
1 - 3
CRV
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CRV
0 - 0
SHA
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -8 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
CRV
5 - 0
AKP
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
UFA
0 - 1
CRV
7%
17%
76%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 0
ACM
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 0
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 3
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |