Crvena Zvezda vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 2
CRV
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
CRV
7 - 1
ZEL
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
NPA
1 - 5
CRV
25%
22%
54%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
PAF
1 - 1
CRV
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
CRV
1 - 2
PAF
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
KIL
1 - 2
CEL
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
GLA
0 - 0
CEL
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
KAI
0 - 0
CEL
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 0
KAI
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |