Crvena Zvezda vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BAK
2 - 2
CRV
14%
21%
66%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
CRV
5 - 0
RAD
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ČUK
1 - 2
CRV
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
CRV
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CRV
6 - 1
RAD
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
S04
2 - 2
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 2
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARS
21%
23%
57%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
M05
1 - 0
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 3
HOF
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |