Cruzeiro vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
CRZ
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COT
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
VIT
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |