Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 3
REM
68%
22%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COT
0 - 3
CRZ
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 0
BRA
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
AQU
0 - 1
VIL
8%
20%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
VIL
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
RVV
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRB
26%
29%
46%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
27%
31%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |