Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 3
ATM
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SCI
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
CRZ
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |