Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-1
Cruzeiro vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
CRZ
20%
28%
52%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
AMF
3 - 1
CRZ
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 2
AMF
46%
29%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
4 - 0
PAT
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
POA
1 - 0
CRZ
14%
23%
62%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 2
SDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |