Cruzeiro vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
PAL
2 - 2
CRZ
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
CRZ
4 - 0
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
SER
0 - 1
CRZ
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FLU
1 - 2
CRZ
51%
22%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
SCI
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
CRB
1 - 3
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1972 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |