Cruzeiro vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
4 - 1
CRZ
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
4 - 0
FFL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 3
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
4 - 1
CRZ
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
COT
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |