Cruzeiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
CRZ
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CEA
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
CEA
3 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 2
CEA
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |