Cruzeiro vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
35%
28%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 3
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 3
CRZ
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATP
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 0
VAS
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |