Mineiro 1 Final
Global 3-3
Cruzeiro vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 0
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 1
CRZ
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 1
TUP
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 1
CRZ
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAT
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
4 - 0
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 1
CRZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
URT
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |