Cruz Azul vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
LOB
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
JAG
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
MER
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
PUM
29%
29%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TAM
1 - 2
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
UAT
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 3
PUM
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |