UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 4-6
Crusaders vs KF Skënderbeu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 4
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
KFS
4 - 1
CRU
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 1
CRU
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 0
LEV
38%
23%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 0
GLE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
KFS
4 - 1
CRU
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
DYN
3 - 0
KFS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
KFS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
VLZ
0 - 2
KFS
20%
29%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KFS
2 - 0
FLA
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |