Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
29%
25%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
LIS
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
5 - 1
GLE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
CLI
3 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
DON
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |