Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 2
CLI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRU
40%
24%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
BAL
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 2
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
WAR
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 6
CRU
6%
14%
81%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |