Cruiz vs Pepeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CFR
1 - 5
CRU
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CRU
0 - 2
FCO
7%
16%
77%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SIN
2 - 1
CRU
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CRU
6 - 1
FCM
7%
18%
75%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
UNG
8 - 1
CRU
93%
5%
1%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCO
3 - 1
FCP
87%
10%
3%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 1
FCM
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCP
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 5
BOS
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COD
2 - 0
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |