Crucero del Norte vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GAF
2 - 2
CDN
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CDN
3 - 2
CCS
48%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CCS
2 - 0
CDN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 5
CDN
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CDN
1 - 0
TEX
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GAF
2 - 2
CDN
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SPB
3 - 1
GAF
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
GAF
3 - 1
SPB
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GAF
3 - 2
CFE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GAF
0 - 1
BUC
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |