NPFL . Jor. 4

Crown vs Kwara United analysis

Crown Kwara United
65 ELO 70
-1.5% Tilt -0.4%
1538º General ELO ranking 1386º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Crown
28.4%
Draw
31.6%
Kwara United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
Crown
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.6%
Win probability
Kwara United
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crown
-5%
-3%
Kwara United

ELO progression

Crown
Kwara United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crown
Crown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2010
KAD
Kaduna United FC
2 - 1
Crown
CRO
52%
26%
21%
65 68 3 0
13 Nov. 2010
CRO
Crown
1 - 1
Warri Wolves FC
WAR
39%
28%
34%
65 71 6 0
07 Nov. 2010
NIG
Niger Tornadoes
1 - 0
Crown
CRO
53%
27%
20%
65 71 6 0

Matches

Kwara United
Kwara United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2010
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 0
Kano Pillars
KAN
45%
29%
26%
71 71 0 0
13 Nov. 2010
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 1
Kaduna United FC
KAD
46%
28%
27%
71 67 4 0
07 Nov. 2010
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
1 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
53%
25%
21%
71 71 0 0
07 Jul. 2010
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
29%
25%
71 71 0 0
28 Jun. 2010
GOM
Gombe United
1 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
41%
29%
30%
71 71 0 0
X